Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirmed the 2% Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation target, citing insufficient improvement in underlying inflation. #
Warsh said the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation objective, measured by the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, remains a “firm and fixed” target. Although summer inflation reports were better than expected, he said they did not demonstrate a meaningful improvement in the underlying trend.
He stated that policymakers must be confident underlying inflation is moving toward the target “at a clear and sufficiently rapid pace”; otherwise, the Federal Reserve still has work to do. Warsh also said price stability should be the central bank’s predominant current focus and described labor-market conditions as consistent with full employment.
Warsh said consumer spending was healthy, labor markets were stable, and financial conditions were difficult to characterize as restrictive. Following the speech, the two-year U.S. Treasury yield finished 11.14 basis points higher at 4.3434%, while market pricing for a September 25-basis-point increase rose to 59.7%, according to the cited CME FedWatch update.

