ComputeLabs Research
July Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation reached 3.7% year over year; core inflation held at 3.3%, while GDP growth was 1.5%.
· ComputeLabs Research · from the August 26, 2026 edition
The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures price index increased 3.7% year over year in July, above the 3.6% forecast and unchanged from the previous reading. On a monthly basis, the headline index rose 0.2%, versus a forecast of 0.1% and a previous decline of 0.1%.
Core PCE inflation, which excludes food and energy, remained at 3.3% year over year, matching both the forecast and the prior reading. Core prices increased 0.2% month over month, also matching the forecast.
The second estimate of quarterly U.S. gross domestic product showed annualized growth of 1.5%, unchanged from the previous estimate and in line with expectations. The GDP price index was 6.4%, above the 6.2% forecast.
Nominal consumer spending increased 0.2% month over month, while real personal consumption was unchanged. Personal income rose 0.4%, and durable-goods orders increased 1.1% compared with the 0.5% forecast.
Additional reporting
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- Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation

